Woburn Weather Center  42.5°F

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
723 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather is expected through Wednesday night, although it
will be blustery during the daylight hours with below normal
temperatures for mid-October. A distant low pressure system
could kick back an isolated shower or two for Cape Cod and
neighboring Islands Thursday and Thursday night, then high
pressure builds in and brings dry and warmer temperatures into
mid next week.

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
No major changes to the forecast this evening. Isolated showers
across western MA continue to diminish now that we are past
sunset. Expecting clearing skies overnight, especially after
the passage of a cold front. Brought temperatures and dew points
back in line with observed trends.

Previous Discussion...

A reinforcing shot of cold air arrives overnight as another cold
front moves through the region. Temperatures tonight will be
quite chilly in the low to mid-30s for much of the region. With
a tight pressure gradient and CAA, there should be enough mixing
to keep winds from going calm overnight. The blustery overnight
winds will bring the apparent temperatures down into the upper
20s to low 30s.

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Upper-level trough and cold pool move offshore tomorrow with
rising heights behind. Winds become gusty again tomorrow
afternoon as continued CAA promotes mixing up to 5-6kft. Winds
at the top of the boundary layer are a bit weaker, only
15-20mph, which means gusts at the surface should seldom top
20mph. High temperatures once again remain below normal in the
low to mid-50s. Skies should remain mostly sunny tomorrow with
subsidence aloft.

The pressure gradient finally weakens Wednesday night as high
pressure builds in from the west. Winds overnight should become
calm, setting the stage for strong radiational cooling. With
clear skies, overnight temps will drop below freezing into the
upper 20s away from urban centers and the coasts, which will
stay in the mid-30s. Please keep in mind that the headlines for
the Frost/Freeze program have ended for the season in southern
New England.

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Highlights:

* Below normal temperatures expected through Friday, then
  trending above normal this weekend into early next week

* A low risk for a shower or two for Cape Cod and the
  neighboring islands through Thursday night due to a distant
  low pressure system. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail as high
  pressure will become the dominant weather feature.

A large high pressure is anticipated to move from the lower OH
River valley Thursday into the central Appalachians Friday. This
high pressure then lingers there into early next week. This high
pressure is expected to steer a developing low pressure from the
Mid Atlantic coast well offshore of southern New England
Thursday into Friday. Dry weather should prevail across our
region, other than a slight risk for a shower towards the Cape
and islands.

The position of this high pressure should continue to push
colder air into our region late this week, with a general north
wind into Friday. Winds shift more to the west for Saturday,
and west to southwest for Sunday. This will start a warming
trend that should last into next week.

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight: High confidence.

VFR. Winds remain WNW, but could become light and variable in
low-lying areas.

Wednesday: High confidence.

VFR. NW winds around 10 kt, with low 20-kt gusts developing
after 14z.

KBOS TAF...High confidence.

VFR. Gusty WNW winds through the TAF period up to 20-25 knots

KBDL TAF...High confidence.

VFR. Winds could become light and variable tonight. Gusty NW
winds start up again by Wed afternoon.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through

Thursday through Friday: VFR. Breezy.

Friday Night through Sunday: VFR.

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Wednesday night

Winds still could gust up to 20 knots from the WNW. Seas remain
elevated on the offshore waters at 4-6ft tonight and Wed. Seas
drop below 5ft late early Wed evening as winds turn north at
5-10 knots.

Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 20 kt. Local rough seas.

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 20 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.
Seas up to 5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ250.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ254>256.

SYNOPSIS...Belk/KP
NEAR TERM...Belk/KP
SHORT TERM...KP
LONG TERM...Belk
AVIATION...Belk/KP
MARINE...Belk/KP          

Zone Forecast Product for Southern New England
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1003 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Forecast Synopsis
Dry weather is expected through Wednesday night, although it
will be blustery during the daylight hours with below normal
temperatures for mid-October. A distant low pressure system
could kick back an isolated shower or two for Cape Cod and
neighboring Islands Thursday and Thursday night, then high
pressure builds in and brings dry and warmer temperatures into
mid next week.

Southeast Middlesex MA-
Including the city of Cambridge
1003 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

.OVERNIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy frost after midnight.
Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s.
Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Highs in the upper 60s.
Lows in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s.
Lows in the upper 40s.          

REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 15 2024

NOTE:  "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

MAZALL-160400-
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BOSTON         PTCLDY    47  33  58 W17G28    29.78S
BEVERLY        CLEAR     43  34  70 W10       29.76S
LAWRENCE       CLEAR     44  35  70 SW12      29.78S
BEDFORD        CLEAR     43  33  68 W5        29.77S
NORWOOD        CLEAR     45  33  63 W7        29.80S
MARSHFIELD     CLEAR     43  34  70 VRB7      29.79S
PLYMOUTH       CLEAR     44  33  65 W10       29.80S
TAUNTON        CLEAR     46  33  60 W6        29.81S
NEW BEDFORD    CLEAR     44  34  67 W7        29.81S


MAZALL-160400-
CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
FALMOUTH       PTCLDY    46  34  61 W12       29.81S
HYANNIS        PTCLDY    47  33  58 W7        29.79F
CHATHAM        PTCLDY    49  28  44 VRB6      29.80F
PROVINCETOWN   CLEAR     49  38  65 W18G26    29.79S
NANTUCKET      CLOUDY    49  41  74 MISG      29.83R
MARTHAS VNYRD  CLEAR     48  35  60 W5        29.82S


MAZALL-160400-
CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
WORCESTER      CLEAR     41  32  70 W12       29.78F
FITCHBURG      CLEAR     43  33  68 SW8       29.79S
ORANGE         CLEAR     42  33  70 SW7       29.79F
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    40  34  78 SW12      29.79F
WESTFIELD      CLEAR     33  32  96 S6        29.83S WCI  28
NORTH ADAMS    CLOUDY    43  33  68 W14G21    29.80S
PITTSFIELD     MOCLDY    39  32  76 SW8       29.79F


RIZALL-160400-
RHODE ISLAND

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PROVIDENCE     CLEAR     41  35  79 W5        29.83S
NEWPORT        CLEAR     48  35  60 NW7       29.83R
BLOCK ISLAND   CLEAR     49  36  61 NW8G17      N/A
SMITHFIELD     CLEAR     41  35  79 W6        29.82S
WESTERLY       CLEAR     43  36  76 W3        29.85R


CTZALL-160400-
CONNECTICUT

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BRADLEY INTL   CLEAR     44  35  70 SW3       29.84S
HARTFORD       CLEAR     44  35  70 W6        29.85S
PLAINVILLE     CLEAR     39  35  86 CALM      29.85S
BRIDGEPORT     CLEAR     47  34  60 W8        29.88R
DANBURY        CLEAR     41  33  73 SW7       29.88S
GROTON         CLEAR     45  36  70 W8        29.85R
NEW HAVEN      CLEAR     50  37  61 VRB6      29.87S
CHESTER        CLEAR     41  36  81 CALM      29.85S
MERIDEN        CLEAR     43  33  68 CALM      29.86S
WILLIMANTIC    CLEAR     43  35  73 NW5       29.84S
OXFORD         CLEAR     41  34  76 W3        29.86S


MEZ002-015-021-024-NHZ003-005-008-011-012-014-VTZ005-008-160400-
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PORTLAND ME    CLEAR     39  35  86 W3        29.69S
BANGOR ME      MOCLDY    44  34  67 VRB7      29.61S
CONCORD NH     CLEAR     39  33  79 SW3       29.74S
MANCHESTER NH  CLEAR     42  34  73 SW5       29.74S
NASHUA NH      CLEAR     39  35  86 SE3       29.78S
PORTSMOUTH NH  PTCLDY    41  35  78 S6        29.72S
JAFFREY NH     CLEAR     38  33  82 S6        29.76S
KEENE NH       CLEAR     35  34  96 CALM      29.77F
BURLINGTON VT  LGT RAIN  41  36  82 NW12G21   29.75S
MT. WASHINGTON SNOW      19  19 100 W46         N/A  VSB 0   WCI  -3


NYZ052-076-160400-
EASTERN NEW YORK

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
ALBANY         MOCLDY    43  35  73 W12G21    29.84R
NEW YORK CITY  PTCLDY    51  32  48 W13G22    29.90S


ANZALL-160400-
MARINE OBSERVATIONS

STATION/POSITION TIME  TEMP    WIND        PRES    VSBY  WAVE
                       AIR SEA DIR/SP/G                  HT/PER
                 (UTC) (F)     (DEG/KT/KT) (MB)    (MI)  (FT/S)
BOSTON BUOY      0250   50 59  260/ 19/ 25 1008.3F         3/ 4
BUZZARDS BAY     0200   52     310/ 18/ 20 1010.2R
NANTUCKET SOUND  0250   54 61  290/ 19/ 23 1008.8R         2/ 3
MASS BAY-STELLWA 0104   51     260/ 21/ 27 1006.6R  1 7/8  3/ 4
ISLE OF SHOALS   0200   48     250/ 20/ 25 1006.2R
S OF BLOCK IS    0226      63                N/A           5/ 5


......................KEY.........................
  SKY/WX - SKY CONDITION/PRESENT WEATHER
  TMP    - TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT
  DWPT   - DEWPOINT IN FAHRENHEIT
  RH     - RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN PERCENT
  WIND   - DIRECTION AND SPEED IN MPH
  PRES   - MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN INCHES OF HG
  WCI    - WIND CHILL INDEX
  VSB    - VISIBILITY IN MILES
  HX     - HEAT INDEX
  TC     - TEMPERATURE IN CELSIUS
  VRB    - VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION
  N/A    - NOT AVAILABLE          

Max/Min Temperature and Precipitation Table for
Most of Southern New England
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
820 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

This is an automated product. These data are preliminary and have not
undergone final quality control by the National Climatic Data Center
(NCDC). Therefore, these data are subject to revision. Final and
certified climate data can be accessed at www.ncdc.noaa.gov.


Values represent lows over the last 18 hours,
highs over the last 18 hours and precipitation over the
last 24 hours.

.BR BOX 1015 ES DH19/TAIRZS/TAIRZI/PPDRZZ
                          Max       Min       24 Hour
ID    Location            Temp      Temp    Precipitation

Eastern Massachusetts...
BED   Bedford             54   /    34   /      T
BVY   Beverly             54   /    35   /      T
BOS   Boston              55   /    42   /    0.00
LWM   Lawrence            53   /    37   /      T
EWB   New Bedford         58   /    40   /    0.00
OWD   Norwood             59   /    33   /    0.00
PYM   Plymouth            57   /    39   /    0.00
GHG   Marshfield          55   /    37   /

Cape Cod and the Islands...
CQX   Chatham             59   /    49   /    0.00
HYA   Hyannis             55   /    40   /    0.00
MVY   Marthas Vineyard    57   /    44   /    0.00
ACK   Nantucket           56   /    46   /    0.00
FMH   Falmouth            55   /    39   /
PVC   Provincetown        55   /    46   /

Central and Western Massachusetts...
FIT   Fitchburg           54   /    32   /    0.00
ORE   Orange              52   /    29   /    0.00
CEF   Springfield         55   /    29   /    0.00
BAF   Westfield           56   /    30   /      T
ORH   Worcester           50   /    36   /      T

Rhode Island...
BID   Block Island        55   /    44   /
SFZ   Smithfield          55   /    36   /
UUU   Newport             58   /    43   /    0.00
PVD   Providence          57   /    39   /    0.00
WST   Westerly            58   /    39   /    0.00

Northern Connecticut...
BDL   Hartford-Bradley    59   /    37   /      T
HFD   Hartford            59   /    36   /    0.00
IJD   Willimantic         55   /    37   /    0.00